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from: Dec 11 2019 10:00 pm until: Dec 13 2019 10:00 am Winter Storm Watch level: Moderate
Possible threat to life or property - Responsive action SHOULD be taken in the near future

Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Dec 11 2019 2:54 am


 

Day 1

D4Friday Dec 13 2019 - Saturday Dec 14 2019 D7Monday Dec 16 2019 - Tuesday Dec 17 2019
D5Saturday Dec 14 2019 - Sunday Dec 15 2019 D8Tuesday Dec 17 2019 - Wednesday Dec 18 2019
D6Sunday Dec 15 2019 - Monday Dec 16 2019 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
        

Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com